Monarch Discusses the Impacts of Trump’s Tariffs in Newsweek and Nexstar Articles
March 18, 2025
Newsweek,Nexstar Media Group
Since returning to office, President Trump has faced a volatile stock market, with major indexes erasing post-election gains and dropping over the past month due to investor concerns over his economic policies, particularly tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China.
This contrasts sharply with his first term, when markets performed well early on, and comes as prices for goods remain high, fueling voter dissatisfaction. Economic warning signs, including a projected GDP decline and recession risks, further challenge Trump's promises of economic revival.
Ryan Monarch, assistant professor of economics, tells Newsweek tariffs are the key policy contributing to the market selloff, describing them as a “self-inflicted wound.”
Typically, a Republican presidency would be defined by a pro-business outlook that includes lower taxes and deregulation, which tend to boost investment in equities. Trump's tariffs, however, are a driving force in the other direction this time, Monarch says.
“In the first Trump administration, there was this widespread belief that downturns in the stock market that came from federal policies would encourage President Trump to reconsider those policies,” Monarch says. “That's a change we're seeing because even with the recent downturn in markets, President Trump has continued on his pace of adding new tariffs, defending the tariffs, layering them one on top of each other.”
In the Nexstar article, “President Trump threatens tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber,” Monarch says, “It’s hard to imagine a more haphazard and random rollout of these policies. The scale of the change we’re seeing now is just unprecedented in any of our lifetimes.
“We could see both higher prices and effects on the labor market, effects on growth,” Monarch says.
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